College Democrats | University of Wisconsin - Madison

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Best Kerry Speech Ever
Why do Democratic presidential nominees always have to find their voices AFTER they lose? Senator Kerry should have so been the keynote speaker over the bland, post-partisan rhetoric of Mark Warner.

I've simply never seen Kerry speak with so much passion and conviction. It gave me goosebumps. He finally laid into McCain and it's a shame none of the networks carried it.



In case you don't have 15 minutes to watch the whole thing (although you should), here are my favorite quotes.
I have known and been friends with John McCain for almost 22 years. But every day now I learn something new about candidate McCain.

To those who still believe in the myth of a maverick instead of the reality of a politician: I say, let’s compare Senator McCain to candidate McCain.

Candidate McCain now supports the wartime tax cuts that Senator McCain once called irresponsible.

Candidate McCain criticizes Senator McCain’s own climate change bill.

Candidate McCain says he would now vote against the immigration bill that Senator McCain wrote.

Are you kidding? Talk about being for it before you’re against it!

Let me tell you, before he ever debates Barack Obama, John McCain should finish the debate with himself.

---------
The McCain Bush Republicans have been wrong again, and again, and again. And they know they will lose on the issues.

So, the candidate who once promised a campaign of ideas, not insults, now has nothing left but personal attacks.

How insulting to suggest that those who question the mission, question the troops?

How pathetic to suggest that those who question a failed policy doubt America itself?

How desperate to tell the son of a single mother who chose community service over money and privilege that he doesn’t put America first?

No one can question Barack Obama’s patriotism.

---------
This election is a chance for America to tell the merchants of fear and division: You don’t decide who love this country.

You don’t decide who is a patriot.

You don’t decide whose service counts and whose doesn’t.

Four years ago I said – and I say it again tonight – that flag doesn’t belong to any ideology. It doesn’t belong to any political party. It is an enduring symbol of our nation and it belongs to all the American people.

After all, patriotism is not love of power; or some cheap trick to win votes – patriotism is love of country.

Years ago when we protested a war, people would weigh in against us saying: "My country right or wrong." Our answer?

Absolutely, my country right or wrong. When right, keep it right. When wrong, make it right.

Sometimes loving your country demands you must tell the truth to power. This is one of those times, and Barack Obama is telling those truths.


P.S. Joe Biden was good tonight too but he has to learn when to take strategic pauses. And I was very pleased to see both him and John Kerry challenge McCain on an issue that should be anything but a strength of his: national security.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 11:15 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Obama-Biden
For those of you who are living under a rock, Barack Obama has selected Joe Biden to be his VP candidate. I, for one, believe this to be an excellent choice. Many may not know this, but I decided early on in the primary season that if Obama didn't run, I would work for Biden's campaign (true story!) I'm very excited for this pick for a variety of reasons, including his experience, his respect among the voters, and his excellent speaking skills (if it does sometimes get him in a little trouble, but hey- it's Joe!)

I won't go too long into this, but I've posted his biographical timeline below, courtesy of http://biden.senate.gov/senator/timeline/, just so people can get a good sense of who this man is and where he comes from. After all, he's going to be the next vice president. I also wouldn't mind hearing everyone else's thoughts on this selection, so comment away.

  • November 20, 1942: Born in Scranton, Pennsylvania, the first of Joe and Jean Biden's four children.
  • Summer 1953: Biden family moves from Scranton to Brookview neighborhood in Claymont, Delaware.
  • September 1957: Joe enrolls at Archmere Academy.
  • June 1965: Joe graduates from the University of Delaware with a double major in History and Political Science and enrolls in Syracuse University Law School.
  • August 27, 1966: Joe marries the former Neilia Hunter.
  • June 1968: After graduating from law school, Joe begins work as a trial attorney at a law firm in Wilmington, Delaware and serves as a public defender.
  • February 3, 1969: Birth of Joe and Neilia's first child, Joseph R. "Beau" Biden, III
  • February 4, 1970: Birth of Joe and Neilia's second child, Hunter.
  • November, 1970: Elected to New Castle County Council.
  • November 8, 1971: Birth of third child, Naomi Christina.
  • November, 1972: Joe elected as Delaware's U.S. Senator, beating an incumbent Republican. At age 29, Joe was the 5th-youngest U.S. Senator ever.
  • December 18, 1972: Joe's wife and three children are in an automobile accident while Christmas shopping. Neilia and Naomi suffer fatal injuries, while Beau and Hunter are critically injured but make full recoveries.
  • January 5, 1973: After consistent lobbying by Hubert Humphrey and Senate Majority Leader Mike Mansfield urging him not to resign, Joe is sworn in to the United States Senate at Beau and Hunter's bedside in Wilmington, Delaware.
  • January, 1975: Joe becomes a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, which he later chairs.
  • June 17, 1977: Joe marries Jill Tracy Jacobs, a school teacher.
  • January, 1977: Joe becomes a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, which he later chairs from 1987 to 1994.
  • November, 1978: Wins reelection to U.S. Senate.
  • June 8, 1981: Birth of Joe and Jill's daughter, Ashley.
  • November, 1984: Re-elected to U.S. Senate.
  • June 9, 1987: Announces candidacy for the 1988 Democratic Nomination for President of the United States.
  • February 11, 1988: Two aneurysms are diagnosed in Joe's brain and he undergoes successful emergency surgery.
  • November, 1990: Wins re-election to U.S. Senate.
  • September, 1991: Joe begins teaching constitutional law as an adjunct professor at Widener University Law School.
  • November, 1996: Re-elected to U.S. Senate.
  • May 11, 1999: Joe casts 10,000th vote on the Senate floor.
  • November, 2002: Wins reelection to U.S. Senate.
  • January 31, 2007: Joe announces his bid for the 2008 Democratic Nomination for President of the United States.
  • August 1, 2007: Joe releases his memoir, "Promises to Keep: On Life and Politics."
posted by Paul Axel at 9:07 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Friday, August 22, 2008

Sign of the Times
John McCain doesn't know the difference between Sunni and Shia, thinks Iran is training Al Qaeda, thinks the way Social Security has operated for decades is a "disgrace," but what's really important is that he can't remember how many homes he owns? It's truly sad that this is the gaffe that actually caught on in the media. Because policy issues are unimportant in American political discourse, only symbolism that alludes to perceived elitism that might seem to indicate a candidate's potential inability to connect with the working class. Politics these days really is all about gut feelings and symbolism manifested in flag pins, the national anthem, home ownership, arugala, etc. etc.

Still I agree wholeheartedly with Glenn Greenwald:
But, as I argued continuously when I did my book tour in April and May for Great American Hypocrites, this is the kind of campaign the GOP runs every election and in which they specialize, and there are only two options for Democrats in response: (1) purport to "rise above it" and thus ensure that they get slaughtered in a one-sided, one-way War of Personality Demonization which renders issues irrelevant (hence: the all-American Everyman War Hero versus the rich, out-of-touch, effete elitist), or (2) attack the GOP candidate using the same lowly character themes in order to neutralize the attacks and prevent the election from being decided on these grounds.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 11:27 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Can't Help But Worry
I don't mean to concern troll but there's no question in my mind that for whatever reason Obama's numbers have slipped significantly and nationally he is probably dead even with McCain. Fairly weak recent polling results in state numbers back that up. In fairness, pollster.com looks a little better for him (using simple polling averages instead of regressions with demographic variables), but even they list weak recent national numbers for Obama. There is absolutely no reason to panic, I know all the cliches. The VPs haven't been picked yet, the conventions haven't happened yet, Americans don't start paying attention until labor day.

But they said all these things about Kerry too. "Don't worry about the weak polls, he'll cream Bush in the debates or something!" But by August all the smears were pretty much cemented. He had spent all summer not hitting back hard when he was smeared, trying to run a positive campaign, and thus various narratives had taken hold and became impossible to change. For the average Joe, Kerry was an incorrigible flip flopper while Bush was strong and resolute. For the wingnuts, Kerry betrayed his colleagues in Vietnam and hated his country while Bush, who had ducked out of serving in Nam and lied us into a war with Iraq, clearly loves the country more. A large majority believed Bush was to be trusted over Kerry on all matters of national security throughout the election season.

And check this poll out.

Latest Reuters/Zogby Poll of Likely Voters:
McCain 46/Obama 41

McCain leads by 49 to 40 on who best to handle...THE ECONOMY! McCain who has supported basically Bush's entire economic platform and advocated pushing parts of it (drilling, tax cuts, health care) even further to the right is more trusted on the one issue even Kerry had an advantage over Bush on (I won't even go into McCain's advantage on Iraq). This is a shocking figure and something the Obama people simply have to turn around or it's going to be another disappointing Election Night.

How can Obama turn this around? Most of his weakness is actually with Democrats (more of them cross over to support McCain than Republicans support Obama), he's about even with independents. I would therefore hit McCain hard on issues like health care and social security (the latter McCain wants to privatize and will resonate with a weak group for Obama, seniors) because they are important to Democrats.

He has to project strength firstly, show people he's not a pushover. He shouldn't compromise any more of his positions (like he's done on issues like FISA and drilling) to supposedly move closer to the ephemeral "center." I like these thoughts from a reader of Talking Points Memo. Basically he or she says that while Obama has brilliantly branded himself as an agent of change, Obama has completely failed at branding McCain. S/he suggests saying Obama should attack him on a perceived strength. He's too classy to attack his military service so he should attack his record as a maverick, using his dozens of flip-flops to illustrate that point. This should be boiled down to a simple phrase: "McCain. The candidate who will say anything to get elected." I really like that because if McCain ain't no maverick it's easier to portray him as Bush's third term.

Lastly, Obama has probably already chosen a VP pick and is waiting to announce him or her, but let me advise against picking someone who supposedly "shores up" his national security or foreign policy credentials (although obviously if he picks a governor or something he or she better have a certain fluency about foreign policy). Obama has been right about almost everything in the foreign policy realm, he has nothing to be defensive about. It's McCain's instincts and policy positions that got us into an unnecessary war (and will probably get us into more) and have ruined our reputation around the world. If Obama picks someone like Joe Biden, that just calls attention to his relative inexperience to media commentators and voters. He should reinforce his change Washington message and pick someone outside the Beltway.

UPDATE: This morning Obama fell behind 270 EVs for the first time since winning the nomination @ electoral-vote.com. Check out this map too. It's exactly what Al Gore won in 2000 plus New Hampshire (which Kerry picked up in 2004). In 2000 this would have been enough to put Gore in the White House but because of demographic changes and the resulting redistricting, winning the same states in 2008 will lead to a McCain victory.

UPDATE 2: Good critique of Zogby polling methodology here.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 9:01 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Seriously?!?!
I think this little story pretty much sums up most of the problems with political coverage right now...

So I am watching CNN tonight and they were reporting on the little tiff between Senator Obama and Senator McCain on tire pressure. First off let's all get this straight, Senator Obama never said inflating your tires to the correct pressure would solve the "energy crisis," he didn't. What did he say... In response to a question on how individuals could do their part to help, he said that even an incredibly simple step like everyone inflating their car tires to the correct pressure would save practically as much oil as offshore drilling would add. I will concede that if I did not have any prior knowledge of this topic I would have been skeptical but it turns out he's right! See this Time.com article if you don't believe me!

Now thats all simple enough to agree upon right? Well Senator McCain's campaign has raised some doubts so our wonderful friends at CNN did a little investigation! According to CNN some "experts" say regular maintenance and correct tire inflation can improve gas mileage 3-4%(This agrees with the Time article). BUT, just wait one second, apparently in some more recent research(not cited by CNN) some other "experts" say applying these simple measures would only increase gas mileage by up to 2%! Their conclusion: Senator Obama was not being entirely truthful. Ok... sounds fine, no wait a second, what!

Come on now let's get serious here. Senator Obama never said tire inflation was a cornerstone of his energy plan. He never even cited specific numbers(he could have, see the Time article) but here is CNN insinuating he is being dishonest. Give me a break! If the fine folks at CNN spent their time covering the candidates ACTUAL plans instead of scrutinizing minutiae maybe, just maybe, we could move closer to an informed electorate.

One final point in closing. Isn't this exactly type of thing we would our President to do? Senator Obama just gave every car owner a quick and easy way to start doing their part to save energy. He is actively engaging people on the individual level as well as the societal. It's about damn time someone in a position of power told me something that I can do that will actually help!!
posted by Andrew Voss at 7:27 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Politics of Energy
Senator Obama, please put this in an attack ad.
“He’s offering a plan with no significant investments in alternative energy,” Obama will say, according to excerpts of his remarks. “He’s offering a gas tax holiday that will pad oil company profits and save you, at best, half a tank of gas over the course of an entire summer. And he’s offering $4 billion more in tax breaks to the biggest oil companies in America, including $1.2 billion to Exxon-Mobil… We can choose four years more of the same failed policies that have gotten us where we are. Four years more of oil companies calling the shots while hard working families are struggling. That’s what Senator McCain is offering.”
And if I could pose a serious question about this issue that I've been wondering about for a while: why did the gas tax holiday idea tank (forgive the pun) so badly while off-shore drilling, an equally dubious policy solution, has become all the rage? They're both so ridiculous, neither would reduce gas prices by more than a few pennies (and drilling won't even accomplish that for a decade), yet one caught on with the American people and the press and one did not. The House Speaker and Obama are already starting to cave on the issue. How does anyone get the idea Democrats don't stand for anything?
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 9:40 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Monday, August 04, 2008

Remember Ari Fleischer?
The ongoing Favre saga has not been without its share of twists, and FOX Sports has a new one to add to the bunch. The Packers are reportedly seeking former White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer's services as a consultant:
The Green Bay Packers have apparently decided they need a little help on the public relations front when it comes to handling the ongoing Brett Favre saga.

FOXSports.com has learned that the Packers will employ former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer for one month as a consultant.

Fleischer, who was President George W. Bush's official spokesperson for a majority of his first term in office, is now president of Ari Fleischer Sports Communications, a joint venture with IMG.
This may very well be the biggest political story in Wisconsin until the Brett Favre ordeal is resolved.
posted by Micah Lanier at 10:16 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Thursday, July 31, 2008

The Match Game Fallacy
Poblano is right on with this post. Nothing is more annoying than when pundits bring up random baseball-type statistics and apply them to politics.

What he's getting at fundamentally is the fact that presidential elections are relatively rare occurrences. I mean, we only have one every four years, so that gives us 25 in the entire 20th century. When you consider all the possible permutational characteristics of presidential candidates including where they were from, how they've acted in elected office, what primaries they won, what the national political and economic environment were like at the time they ran, you get way too many possibilities to count.

Maybe if elections occurred every few days (like baseball games), we'd have enough data to link a correlation to a causation, but we just don't. Also, baseball links characteristics and skills directly to outcomes while elections do not (candidates don't control how well the economy is doing for example, which DEFINITELY affects election outcomes).

So saying something like "no Democrat" has won unless "this was true" since "this year" really tells you nearly nothing about the chances of victory when there are so many exogenous intervening variables.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 9:17 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Seismic Shift
Josh Marshall:
Now consider that over the span of a few weeks Sen. McCain has gone from predicting a decades long presence of American troops in Iraq and attacking any discussion of timetables for withdrawal to endorsing Maliki's push for a 16 month timetable and tying himself in knots trying to explain why what Maliki's endorsing is any different from Obama's...

For all the seismic shifts that have taken place over the last two weeks, we need to recognize that McCain has now abandoned virtually everything he's been campaigning on for the last year. There's really no more eloquent confirmation of that reality than the fact that McCain now appears determined to base his campaign on charges that Obama is unpatriotic and despises American soldiers.

Atrios:
Only hope for John McCain is that his base, the press, continue largely to excuse his gibberish.

We've gone from 100 years to timetables will destroy us to "anything is a good timetable."
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 10:46 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Friday, July 25, 2008

Outrageous Leak!
Says Time of the Israeli newspaper Ma'ariv printing the supposedly private note to God that Obama left at the Western Wall while in Israel.

But I think we can all agree that we're relieved, from a political standpoint, that Obama didn't pray for a landslide election victory. On the contrary, he probably wrote the politically perfect prayer he could ever have done.
"Lord, protect my family and me," Obama wrote. "Forgive me my sins and help me guard against pride and despair. Give me the wisdom to do what is right and just. And make me an instrument of your will."

Don't see how even the most diehard Republican could disagree with any of that!
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 7:46 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

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