College Democrats | University of Wisconsin - Madison

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Five Questions: How to Beat Obama, How Clinton Could Win, Michiginian, Edwards, Pennsylvania.
If I were the Obama campaign, I'd stick to the positive side of things. Voters are fine with the fact that Clinton may have a leg up on Obama as far as understanding policy goes. Going negative, and in a way that may be less than accurate, doesn't seem like the best way to advance the Obama message of chjange.



“Shame on you, Barack Obama,” Clinton said angrily when talking to reporters
after a rally in a technical college gym here. “It is time you ran a campaign
consistent with your messages in public. That’s what I expect from you,” she
said, calling on Obama to repudiate and stop the mailings, which she waved
demonstratively.
Sen. Clinton may finally be figuring out how to beat Sen. Obama: question the integrity of his message, and the methods of his campaign, while praising him at opportune moments. So is that how you beat Barack Obama?

Sen. Clinton could still win this thing. Think about it: If Clinton performs well in Texas, beats Obama in Ohio, and somehow manages to go into the spring down only a few delegates, she could make the arguement that, in order to break a possible delegate impasse, the DNC should count Florida and Michigan. Am I the only one whose thought of this, or is the Clinton campaign campaigning with just that in mind: perform well in Texas and Ohio, and seat the Michigan and Florida delagtes. Victory: Clinton.

So what do we do with Michigan and Florida? Floridians and Michiganians(wha?) should be able to be confident in the Democratic primary system. I'm with Sen Clinton on this one: their votes should count. My solution: give the states two weeks notice and do it again, and that suggestion should come from Obama. The Clinton campaign may make a fuss, but they certainly couldn't argue with the results of a re-vote. And hey, they might actually win the two states again. They did before.

How important are endorsements? Right now: Very. Especially for Obama. For a candidate whose lack of experience is a large issue, the endorsements of men like Sens. Kerry and Kennedy is an incredible help. In a race this tight, and this late in the game, an endorsement by a Democratic heavyweight would make quite the difference. So is Edwards going to endorse someone, or what? Does it even matter anymore? I fear the guy may be inactioning his way into irrelevancy. Bill Richardson, however, may make a move some time soon.

With all this Texas and Ohio excitement, I wonder how fellow big state, and plentiful delegate Pennsylvania is feeling?
posted by Gerald Cox at 6:20 PM 5 comments Post to DemWire

NYT Public Editor's Response to Thursday's Piece on McCain

Worth reading. The story he mentions, instead of the distracting innuendo that was the implied focus of Thursday's NYT article, would have been a useful summary of the kind of professional - not sex for influence - relationships McCain has had with lobbyists post-Keating Five, a summary voters deserve to know in judging for themselves whether McCain's ethics are ethical enough to be president.


What That McCain Article Didn’t Say
By CLARK HOYT

The pity of it is that, without the sex [the questionable part of Thursday's story], The Times was on to a good story. McCain, who was reprimanded by the Senate Ethics Committee in 1991 for exercising “poor judgment” by intervening with federal regulators on behalf of a corrupt savings and loan executive, recast himself as a crusader against special interests and the corrupting influence of money in politics. Yet he has continued to maintain complex relationships with lobbyists like Iseman, at whose request he wrote to the [FCC] to urge a speed-up on a decision affecting one of her clients.


Much of that story has been reported over the years, but it was still worth pulling together to help voters in 2008 better understand the John McCain who might be their next president.

posted by David Lapidus at 5:05 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

McCain's Ethics
I'm sure everyone has heard about the HUGE DEVASTATING STORY in the New York Times on Thursday detailing alleged ethical abuses of the McCain campaign. The reporters go all the way back to the Keating Five scandal up until today. The BOMBSHELL is his relationship with a 40 year old blonde lobbyist named Vicki Iseman that may or may not have been inappropriate, although it definitely appears circumstantially that her lobbying affected some of his political actions.

I'd read tons of media reports about it but this morning was the first time I actually had a chance to read the original piece. The New Republic also had a story detailing why it took so long for this story to come out, when most of the facts were available back in December (there was a lot of pressure from the McCain campaign not to publish it, the facts had to be solid, it needed to be retooled to not look like a hit piece, and other news outlets were about to break the story as well).

I agree with a lot of the criticism that the story relies a lot on innuendo (especially about a possible sexual relationship between McCain and Iseman) without any "stained blue dresses" shall we say. It also relies heavily on hearsay from disenchanted former McCain staffers. But the lobbying part of it seems important, as it brings a lot of his image as a crusading, clean politics, untainted by special interests type of politician into question. One line in the Times piece I found extremely interesting was a quote by Senator Feingold with whom he worked on campaign finance reform legislation that passed in 2002.
Mr. McCain appeared motivated less by the usual ideas about good governance than by a more visceral disapproval of the gifts, meals and money that influence seekers shower on lawmakers, Mr. Feingold said. “It had to do with his sense of honor,” he said. “He saw this stuff as cheating.”

So McCain's motivation for supporting various ethics reform legislation has to do with the fact that he thinks it's unfair for some politicians to get gifts and favors while others don't? He doesn't understand that ethics reform is necessary because money in politics is fundamentally corrupting. It makes politicians support the interests of their contributers rather than the common interest. If ethics reform is solely a matter of "honor" for him, especially in light of all the ethical lapses and oversights detailed in the article, that is another huge black mark on him as a candidate.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 11:06 AM 6 comments Post to DemWire

Friday, February 22, 2008

Tell Em Russ
Both Feingold and Sen. Herb Kohl declined to endorse either Obama or his rival, Sen. Hillary Clinton, before Tuesday's primary. Feingold said he believes there is a "presumptuousness" to such endorsements and that they are "largely silly and don't work."

Word.
posted by Jack Craver at 4:25 PM 7 comments Post to DemWire

Smooth out the Rough Edges
E.J. Dionne, Jr. wrote his column in the Washington Post today about the populist language that has been employed in recent weeks by both of the Senators seeking the Democratic nomination. He emphasized how closely they have mirrored the words of the late Paul Wellstone, and in lieu of calling them out for plagiarism instead credited them for reaching out to blue-collar workers so early in the campaign.

He finishes his column with these thoughts:
Supporters of the free market often forget that we don't just have a capitalist system; we have a democratic capitalist system. Democracy is what gives those on the short end of market outcomes a chance to talk back and, sometimes, to alter unjust market decisions. Paul Wellstone understood that. A big-hearted communitarian, Wellstone, I suspect, would be perfectly happy to lend Clinton and Obama all the good lines they want to use.

Wisconsin's own Dave Obey has said that the purpose of government is to take the rough edges off of capitalism. Yes, some people will do better in life than others, and incentives to work hard are fundamental to a successful economy.

But no one who ever makes that argument talks about diminishing marginal returns. The fact is that at a certain point, the next dollar you make won't make you nearly as happy as the ones before. So why keep it? Why not give it to those who truly need it? I think it's about time we evened the playing field.
posted by Oliver Kiefer at 7:46 AM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Thursday, February 21, 2008

On Rhetorical Plagiarism
Just watched the debate, probably one of the very last of the primary season. If you missed it, you didn't really miss much, we'd heard almost all of it before. The pattern of Clinton being stronger on domestic policy and Obama being stronger on foreign policy I think continued. But Clinton did try to deliver an extremely biting line about Obama's alleged plagiarism that backfired badly, making her sound petty.

Now I think this whole debate about politicians copying each others punch lines is really silly. That being said, Hillary Clinton had a lot of gall to call Obama's lines from Deval Patrick "not change we can believe in but change we can xerox," when she pretty much entirely lifted her last lines about how "we're all gonna be fine, I just hope the American people are going to be fine, and that's what the campaign should be about," clearly from John Edwards.

Granted, it was an amazing line and Hillary seemed to show genuine emotion while delivering it which often works well for her, and I think she should be able to use it. Politicians use very similar themes all the time (change, experience, judgment, bringing the country together, middle class anxiety, hard work, responsibility) and it's not very surprising that they'd borrow particularly powerful phrasing. But it's extremely hypocritical for Hillary to deliver that line RIGHT after criticizing Obama for doing the same thing.

I think things like this more than anything have tripped her up in this campaign. It was so clearly devised in a smoke-filled Clinton campaign war room and it didn't come off as authentic so it fell flat, and more than that, I got sort of a dirty, sleazy vibe. Hillary is better than that. She's so good on policy and she has firm, passionately held core beliefs, but the relentless politicking is killing her.

UPDATE: Josh Marshall backs me up:
Clinton, 92: "The hits that I took in this election are nothing compared to the hits the people of this state and this country have been taking for a long time."

Hillary Clinton, tonight: "You know, the hits I’ve taken in life are nothing compared to what goes on every single day in the lives of people across our country."
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 9:24 PM 13 comments Post to DemWire

Five Questions: Cash Money, Stay in or Get Out, Polls, Debate, Dude, Where's Chelsea Clinton?
The Politico has a revealing glimpse into the money situation for our two candidates. It reveals what we have all, by now, come to realize: that a sense of inevitability left the Clinton campaign ill-equipped to compete with a well-financed and organized candidate in a post Super Tuesday world. And of course, it doesn't help that that well-financed and organized candidate is Sen. Barak Obama. Could it be that Obama's recent momentum is due in part to Hillary's strapedness for cashedness?

Dailykos posts a column from the Financial Times calling for Clinton to Get Out. The author invokes an idea that I believe is becoming increasingly prevalent among Obama supporters. It is the idea that Sen. Clinton could be an able ally and chief advisor of a President Barack Obama. As the FT columnist also points out, his candidacy would represent an incredible opportunity for the Clintons to further and preserve their legacy -- through pioneering legislation in the Senate and aligning themselves closely with a Barack Obama presidency. As I said in my column from Monday, what better way to do this than as Senate Majority leader? So should she stay, or should she go?

Here they come. More polls. Polls indicate Clinton leading in Ohio, and clinging to a statistical non-lead in Texas (I pronounce it Tejas). The polls, indicating a 48-47 Clinton lead in Texas, and 50-43 in Ohio indicate that Hillary still has a chance to put a stop to the 11 contest winning streak Obama has compiled. But they may also be portents of doom for a campaign that is hinging on victories there for a shot at the nomination. In November, Obama was down by 40 points in Texas; a month ago, 20. Now? A statistical deadheat, and the story in Ohio isn't much better. Will this trend continue or will Sen. Clinton Hillary win these states, though just barely? To answer a previous question, she should at least stay in until then, right?

Well, Hillary may not have gotten him to debate her in Wisconsin, but they're at it tonight in the 19th debate since all this primaryin and caucusin got started. Should be interesting, given that the stakes are so high. Will Mark Penn headbutt an Obama staffer? Will Deval Patrick stand in for Barack Obama? Will a candidate attempt a phrase in Spanish, only to humiliate him or herself beyond electability? Find out, tonight, on CNN# 7:00 CT.

By the way, where has Chelsea Clinton been?
posted by Gerald Cox at 5:08 PM 6 comments Post to DemWire

A Dark Day...
Today was yet another dark day for anyone who cares about the United States of America. Gray Wolves are no longer going to be listed as an endangered species!!! Were you expecting a story about John McCain getting busy(maybe), burning US embassies, or Obama/Clinton debates? I am guessing that you were but something equally distressing occured today. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service announced that they will be removing Gray Wolves from the endangered species list.

"The wolf population in the Northern Rockies has far exceeded its recovery goal and continues to expand its size and range. States, tribes, conservation groups, federal agencies and citizens of both regions can be proud of their roles in this remarkable conservation success story," said Scarlett, noting that there are currently more than 1,500 wolves and at least 100 breeding pairs in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.

Service-approved state management plans will provide a secure future for the wolf population once Endangered Species Act protections are removed and the states assume full management of wolf populations within their borders. The northern Rocky Mountain DPS includes all of Montana, Idaho and Wyoming, as well as the eastern one-third of Washington and Oregon, and a small part of north-central Utah.


I will be the first to admit that the wolf recovery has been impressive but I have my doubts as to whether this recovery was main the reason behind the decision. The real reason behind the removal... Hunting. As the Gray Wolf has settled back into its role as a predator on the top of the food chain the elk, deer and moose population available for hunting has decreased. Nature has a way of balancing itself out. The Gray Wolf is beginning to once again create a sustainable environment with the elk, deer and moose in the Rocky Mountains area, this success has come out of its status as an endangered species. To remove it from the list is to greatly increase the risk of reversing the substantial gains that have been made.

The only reason I am not opposed to deer hunting in Wisconsin is because it is a necessary evil, we don't have enough wolves at the top of the food chain to manage the deer population. We certainly need humans to fill the role of predator in places like Wisconsin but when our efforts finally create a situation where we can step back from that role we have to be willing to do so. Protections like the endangered species list are the only things that ensure that our children will be able to enjoy the wolf, elk, deer and moose populations in the future!
posted by Andrew Voss at 4:55 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Who will pick up the bill?
The first time that I felt I could truly support Barack Obama as my candidate was when I heard he had promised to accept public financing for the general election if he became the nominee and the Republican nominee promised to do the same. Senator McCain agreed to this idea and I was very excited when he and Obama put this agreement in writing.

I have to admit that I was surprised that this didn't get more press at the time, and was worried that no one would remember that the agreement had even been made. Well, now that Obama, who has become a fund raising machine, is looking more and more likely to be the Democratic nominee it appears that at least John McCain has not forgotten.

I
am a bit concerned by the fact that Barack has not said that he will for certain take public financing should McCain be his opponent. I realize that it is hard to walk away from all that money that he is accumulating, especially if he feels it can give him a huge advantage in the fight for the White House.

In my opinion though, if he doesn't follow through on his promise it will nullify his whole campaign. It would be historic if both candidates were to give up private funding (and not because we wouldn't have to watch as many commercials in the fall).

Barack promises to bring change to Washington D.C., and he promises he isn't just words. If he can't come through on this promise, I can almost guarantee I won't vote for him in November.
posted by Justin Rabbach at 2:53 PM 10 comments Post to DemWire

Obama Gets No Votes in NYC?
Mayor Michael Bloomberg has alleged fraud took place in the New York Democratic primaries, in which Barack Obama mysteriously received zero votes in 80 New York City election districts.

"If you want to call it significant undercounting, I guess that's a euphemism for fraud," he said.

posted by Jack Craver at 1:11 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

PCF-HRC2008
So, I'm perusing DailyKos today (yeah, I know, call me out on that), when a post catches my eye. Entitled "The Clinton 527". It cites this ABC blog entry for its source: http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/02/new-pro-clinton.html

Essentially, the American Leadership Project (ALP) is established to attack Senator Obama, with a concentration of ads in Ohio. While not attacking the senator by name, the ads mention "if speeches could solve problems", which is a constant line of thought seen in many of Hillary's stumpings, especially recently.

ALP has a goal to raise $10 million by the end of next week, which is pretty much a $10 million donation of sorts to the Clinton campaign.

Barack and John Edwards had 527s formed in their favor earlier in this primary race, and both asked that those 527s disband, remembering the "Swiftboat Veterans for Truth" that helped sink Kerry's campaign run. The question to be asked is if Hillary will do the same. Will Hillary Clinton ask ALP to disband?

Now, most people who read this blog are pretty sure of who I support for Democratic candidate. I don't see Senator Clinton asking to disband this 527. She needs a March 4th victory to keep her campaign afloat, and I sense that she may be just desperate enough to use whatever resource she can get, even if that resource is one as disdainful and suspicious as a 527.

My questions to you, the reader, are these:

Will Hillary ask ALP to disband, and why or why not?
What are the ramifications for the Democratic Party if this 527 is allowed to exist?

Labels: , ,

posted by Paul Axel at 8:36 PM 4 comments Post to DemWire

Getting at the Roots
A few months ago, I cross-posted a blog written by my cousin Michael who works in analysis of the health care industry. At that time, we were talking about the proposed expansion of SCHIP and its subsequent veto by a suddenly fiscally-conservative President Bush. In this post, Michael talks about the problem of poverty and how it relates to health care.

The Poverty Syndrome
Posted by Michael Klozotsky on February 19, 2008

Hospitals know them as the sizable and growing self-pay population. Many well heeled Americans refer to them as deadbeats, hangers-on, or freeloaders. Some collection agencies see them as a potential source of revenue. “They” might be identified as uninsured Americans, but that is largely a symptom of an underlying affliction.

They are America’s poor.

According to Dr. Otis Brawly, Chief Medical Officer for the American Cancer Society, in today’s Atlanta Journal-Constitution, “Insurance versus non-insurance is a great marker for people who are socially deprived or poor.”

The findings of a major ACS study released today show that cancer patients with private insurance are much less likely to be diagnosed with late-stage cancers than those who lack insurance. The broad study of 3.5 million patients with 12 common types of cancer also found that many of those advanced-stage diseases could have been discovered by appropriate early screening methods.

The notion that insured patients statistically seek care earlier, have access to more care, and ultimately live longer than uninsured patients is perhaps not earth shattering. But it highlights a false dichotomy in the rhetoric that surrounds the U.S. healthcare crisis.

Uninsured Americans, many of whom are poor—or the American poor, many of whom are uninsured—not only lack insurance. In most instances they lack basic heath information, reliable and convenient modes of transportation, and jobs that afford them the benefit of leave time to visit a doctor’s office. Circumstances like these that impede adequate medical care are conditions of poverty often ignored in an “insured v. uninsured” assessment of healthcare in America. Thus, Dr. Brawly notes, “While giving people insurance would improve things, it will not improve everything.”

If that weren’t enough, findings recently presented at the American Association for the Advancement of Science found that “many children growing up in very poor families with low social status experience unhealthy levels of stress hormones, which impair their neural development.” In short: poverty affects biology. The result is that the poor stay poor.

Now reinsert the corollary absence of health insurance for this population and the grim cycles repeat themselves.

In this election year, Americans are talking about things that matter to them. The economy and healthcare are high on voters’ lists of priorities, and politicians have been quick to fall in step with their supporters’ concerns.

But eloquent proposals for universal health coverage and quick tax rebates aren’t going to solve poverty in America. The question is—can will we ever solve “the economy” and “healthcare” without first addressing poverty?


I think that this speaks to the idea of people "who can afford insurance just not wanting it." This is an argument I've heard from conservatives on campus all the way up to national politics.

Hate to break it to you, but there are poor people in the country who are getting poorer and sicker because of irresponsible tax cuts for millionaires and the lack of health care available to them. And Senator McCain says hope to change the system is a platitude.

Respectfully, sir, I think your hope of winning the general election is the real platitude in American politics today.
posted by Oliver Kiefer at 1:41 PM 15 comments Post to DemWire

College Dems in the Badger Herald
Today's Badger Herald, amidst election results, covers the College Democrats and the hard work our volunteers have put in. Thanks again to everyone who helped out yesterday!


Arctic temperatures and ice-covered sidewalks certainly did not keep people from the polls yesterday — they came in masses, said College Democrats Chair Oliver Kiefer.

“I’m pretty sure my whole floor has come through,” said Witte Hall resident Abrianna Barca, a UW freshman and member of the College Democrats.

Barca was stationed at the Gordon Commons polling place as a poll watcher. Sitting next to the voter registration tables, Barca said she was there to make sure every student was able to vote and if one was turned away to figure out why. Her presence had nothing to do with supporting Democrats, she said.

“It is so important for students to vote because we are coming into the age where politics will really affect our lives,” she added.

The College Democrats stationed poll watchers at every ward around the city where students vote.

Labels: ,

posted by Suchita Shah at 7:44 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Live blog with election updates
Polls have just closed! I'm reporting the receipt totals from campus and near-campus wards as we get them from our volunteers stationed in the field. Early word has it that voter turnout is hovering near 14000 plus, which trumps the 13,000 of the 2006 general.

8:02. Andrew Voss: Turnout was pretty good. Not quite 2006, but I'm happy. Things look good for the fall election. [So this means that the 14000 number is false? Mixed reports from different agents in the field.... College Dems, Students for Obama, Hillary campaign]

8:03. Andy Gordon: I believe the campus turnout today is about 60% higher than the 2004 primary numbers. And I think it just shows how students are engaged and that our candidates Senators Obama and Clinton are a drastic difference from Senator McCain.

8:06. There was one girl who tried to run into the polls at 8:01 pm. She's still in there (at Memorial Library) so who knows if she got to vote or not.

8:07. Eli Lewien: 2178 is the number at the Doyle Administration Building (Ward 44). He was the last voter.

8:13. Some 8:00 numbers are in!
40 - 980
41 - 838
42 - 1367
43 - 1047
44 - 2178
45 - 1555
46 - 1327
47 - 1095
48 - 1152
60/61 - 1609
62 - 973 (exceed the 2006 general number -- Lakeshore dorms student really got out to vote!)

8:14. Ward 46 (Memorial Library): 1333 total. Obama 948, Clinton 286. 71.1% of total.

8:15. CNN exit poll: White voters make up 88% of Democratic primary. Obama wins them 53-46.

8:17. 43% of Dems will be very satisfied if Clinton is the nominee. 56% will be very satisifed if Obama is the nominee.

8:19. Ward 62 (Holt Commons). 975 total. Obama 663, Clinton 149. 68%.

8:20. Ward 45 (Gordon Commons). 1555 total. Obama 1122, Clinton 160. 72.2%

8:22. Oliver Kiefer: [finally relaxing after a hard, cold day of work].

8:23. CNN and MSNBC just called Wisconsin for Obama. 1 % reporting?

8:24. Claire Rydell: I am very impressed and immensely grateful to all my amazing volunteers. And I am so so excited for the election next fall.
Andrew Voss: I am ecstatic about the turnout, and we have amazing volunteers. Next in the fall, we will turn out at least 20,000 voters.

Voss and Rydell are the off and on-campus GOTV coordinators for the College Dems. Great work, you two!

8:26. Ward 48 (Porchlight). 1155 total. Obama 853, Clinton 173. 73.9%

8:28. Ward 47 (Memorial Union). 1095 total. Obama 788, Clinton 172. 72%.

8:29. Ward 40 (Lowell Center). 983 total. Obama 699, Clinton 172. 71.1%

8:33. Justin Rabbach, ward captain for Memorial Library: I was encouraged by the turnout. Talking with the pollworkers -- well, I got to do a lot of vouching, but the College Dems did a great job of knowing what they needed. No one had to be turned away. The student voice definitely was powerful.

8:35. Oliver Kiefer -- "quite a meeting of the campus elite" (you should see the crowd here in Memorial Library....

8:36. Doug Stewart, ward captain for Memorial Union: Students turned out overwhelmingly in the primary overall. Obama won 3/4 of the vote in my ward. I was pleased with turnout later in the day -- around lunchtime, turnout exploded. Jaci Kent and Miles Comisky were absolutely dynamite passing out candy to encourage voters to stay in line.
Claire Rydell: Doug et al were very conscious of voter turnout in the morning and knew what to do about it.

8:38. Paula Uniacke of the College Dems: I think it's encouraging to see such an enthusiastic turnout. All around campus people were excited about going to vote, even if it didn't turn out how I would have preferred.

8:40. Ward 41 (MATC). 853 total. Obama 623, Clinton 167. 73%

8:41. Ward 42 (Dayton St Firehouse). 1931 total. Obama 1026, Clinton 247. 53.1%

8:42. Gerald Cox: I think students made a really powerful statement today. How do you like that?
Eli Lewien: jeez, the cliche line....

8:43. Adam Rieves, a random student: I think the election went really well.

8:44. MSNBC has 54-44 with 11% reporting.

8:45. Paul Axel, ward captain at 48 (Porchlight): Really hectic. A lot of good student turnout. A little hard for them to understand what proof of residency was, but we worked through that.

8:46. Apparently John Edwards and Joe Biden still got votes around campus....

8:48. There are parties going on at the Stadium Bar for Hillary Clinton and the Great Dane (Madison) for the Obama campaign.

8:49. It appears that we won't have results from Ward 60/61 because no one got in to get receipts for our camp. It's unfortunate, but it gets hectic and chaotic near the end of the campaign.

8:50. A Hillary supporter walking by is still upbeat.

8:51. Oliver, jokingly: Has Hawaii started caucusing yet?

8:52: People here (crowd of 12 +/- ) are packing up, putting away their phone chargers and laptop chargers. Everyone looks exhausted, regardless of the outcome.

8:54. No Brett Favre write-in at Memorial Library, but there was one for Ralph Nader.

8:56. People here have just put Terminator stickers on their laptops and phones. I don't get it.

8:57. The poll workers left about 20 minutes ago and got a rousing round of applause from the west corridor at Memorial Library. The City had trouble finding poll workers up until last Friday, but luckily they came through.

8:58. 43 and 44 are still processing absentee ballots.

9:00. Around 7:40, Bucky Badger came by the College Dems tent, asking (well, miming) about his polling location. Luckily we were able to help him and get him a ride to vote. Bucky VOTES!

9:01. Ward 43 is going to be another half-hour.

9:02. Commenter Matt says I'm wrong about 2006 turnout. I believe you, Matt. My mistake.

9:05. If you have election stories from today, share them here! I've heard that the Isthmus liveblog has been capturing my updates throughout the day. Welcome Isthmus readers!

9:09. If you have pictures from the fun that is Election Day/ Library Mall, send them to our webmaster at scott.resnick@wiscollegedems.org.

9:10. If you want to get involved with the College Democrats (Obama or Hillary or Edwards or whomever you supported), we're folding both organizations back in to make sure that a DEMOCRAT is elected in November. Contact Oliver Kiefer at oliver.kiefer@wiscollegedems.org for more information.

9:13. Homework, anyone? Thanks to everyone who missed class and gave up their time to work on the election in some capacity today. We really can't do any of this without volunteers.

9:16. An appearance from David Lapidus: How did it go? It was fun. What can I really say, I didn't vote. I already voted in Illinois.

9:17. Unity Party on Friday. Details tba.

9:20. I think we're bothering quite a few people studying for midterms here in Memorial Library.

9:21. Word is that the Obama camp paid some people $50 to canvass all day (early am until close). Hey, if you have the money...

9:22. Lapidus asked what are my thoughts. Oh man...

9:23. My thoughts: I haven't taken off my coat since about 11 am this morning. My red hat and AFSCME green scarf makes me look like Christmas, fitting since Election Day is my favorite holiday.

9:24. Andrew Voss: I can't wait until people stop blogging about WI primary things...

9:31. I'm packing up here. It's been fun. Despite the 8 degree (-5 with windchill) weather. There are a few campus wards that we don't yet have results from, but the Madison City Clerk will be reporting them throughout the night. And I'm sure Wispolitics will have something. We're making history, Madison. This has been a haphazard blog and probably not coherent, as my fingers are finally thawed and my mind is still trying to recover from the adrenaline crash. This was my first presidential primary that I got to vote in, and it was an empowering feeling. I can't wait until November!


11:59. Ward 43 (Madison Public Library). 1176 total. Obama 748, Clinton 308. 63.6%
Yes, people are still awake and working. It never ends, does it?

12:19. I forgot to mention a big scare we had around 7 pm. A volunteer reported that Ward 44 (Doyle Administration Building) was out of ballots. After the confusion settled, it turned out that they were running low on registration forms (which were replenished with the supply from Gordon Commons). However, running out of ballots could have been an issue. A common mistake that voters made was voting in both the Republican and the Democratic primary (eg. casting a vote for Hillary and also filling in the line for McCain). That automatically makes the ballot worthless, and it uses up another ballot to correct the mistake. So, yes, if enough people had made the mistakes, there definitely could have been a shortage of ballots at polling locations with much greater-than-expected turnout.

7:23 am. I know it's not really "news" anymore, but here they are:
Ward 44 (Doyle Administration Building). 2248 total. Obama 1669, Clinton 371. 74.2%
Ward 60/61 (First Congregational Church). 1780 total (?). Obama 1224, Clinton 358.
Thanks to Andy Gordon for these final numbers. Obama won every ward in Dane County.

Labels: ,

posted by Suchita Shah at 8:17 PM 8 comments Post to DemWire

More on Exit Polls and Results
John McCain projected to win huge in Wisconsin. No surprise there

Here are the exit poll results on the Democratic side so far:

Obama wins a HUGE victory among young voters, 73% to 20% in preliminary numbers. 18-29 year olds made up a fairly decent 14% of the electorate, which is similar to turnout in 2006 I believe. Women made up 57% of the electorate, more than in 2004.

As Mr. Craver said, Obama wins by 2 among women and voters under $50,000 and voters without a college degree (the last 2 are obviously strongly correlated). Clinton's only consolation? She won senior citizens by a fairly decent margin (60% to 39%). In fact she does better the older you go. More people actually think Clinton is qualified to be commander in chief, 50% to 48% (2 point margins everywhere tonight!).

It's not projected yet, but I think the question is just how big Obama's victory will be tonight...

UPDATE: Obama wins!

UPDATE 2: Obama currently winning by 15 points with 3/4 of the vote tallied.

From the Isthmus election blog:

Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair Joe Wineke points out that Democrats out-polled Republicans by a margin of 3 to 1 today's Wisconsin primary, reports Jason Joyce from the Clinton event at the Stadium Bar...

Also heard that 2/3 of independents voting chose the Democratic primary over the Republican one.

Sweet!

UPDATE 3: Was just watching MSNBC and they had some state senator on from Texas (Kirk Watson) as an Obama surrogate who couldn't list a single legislative accomplishment of Obama. Truly incompetent and embarrassing.

In better news for Obama, Chuck Todd just explained on MSNBC that he currently leads by about 150 pledged delegates. If Obama wins most of the remaining caucus, all-white, heavily-minority, and red states like Wyoming, Montana, Mississippi, Oregon, South Dakota, Vermont with a pretty good margin (extremely likely extrapolating from past trends), Clinton needs to win on average about 65% of the vote in the remaining states like Ohio, North Carolina, Texas, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, etc. to tie Obama in pledged delegates. Not great chances for her I'd say.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 8:05 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Hear ye, Hear ye, the Polls of this Election are Now CLOSED
Polls have just closed! I'm reporting the receipt totals from campus and near-campus wards as we get them from our volunteers stationed in the field. Check out the liveblog (9:25 pm, update)

Labels: ,

posted by Suchita Shah at 8:00 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Less than an hour and a half until polls close
Hillary's campaign is doing reminder calls. Obama's camp is still knocking on doors dragging people to the polls. And your College Democrats are still out here on Library Mall, helping people in the dark.

Bucky Badger came around and is taking an entourage of canvassers through the residence halls, motivating students to go out and vote. He started in Chadbourne and word is that he is now in Liz Waters.

There have been calls of long lines at several campus-area polling locations but there are volunteers everywhere, handing out candy and making sure people stay in line and have the proper proof of residence.

Vote counts are approaching record turnout numbers. But who has time to look at polls right now?
posted by Suchita Shah at 6:37 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Exit Polls
Exit polls seem to indicate a victory for Barack Obama today. He has essentially tied Hillary's support among women as well as with lower income voters.

  • Women: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
  • Change vs. experience, 52% to 24%.
  • Just 17% are first time voters
  • Families with income under 50,000: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
  • Independents: Obama 63%, Clinton 34%
  • Seniors: Clinton 60%, Obama 39%
  • Top quality - experience: Clinton 95%, Obama 5%
  • Union households: Clinton 50%, Obama 49%
posted by Jack Craver at 6:03 PM 3 comments Post to DemWire

It's still Election Day!
Update from Library Mall.

Secretary of State Doug LaFollette just stopped by to congratulate us College Democratrs for "Building the House." He's headed to warm and sunny Arizona, but this space heater we have here is keep us warm.

Turnout numbers are looking great and people are energized about the election.

We're helping hundreds of students figure out where to vote (and this computer is freezing its crystals right now...).

Students for Obama and Students for Hillary are out in full force dragging people to the polls.

If you want to volunteer, we can definitely use you! Come on down to our tent at Library Mall!
posted by Suchita Shah at 2:44 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Why We're Voting Today
A quick history lesson for anybody who's interested. The 1912 Democratic Party Platform marked the first time that a national political party agreed that presidential nominees should be selected through direct primaries:

The movement toward more popular government should be promoted through legislation in each State which will permit the expression of the preference of the electors for national candidates at presidential primaries.

We direct that the National Committee incorporate in the call for the next nominating convention a requirement that all expressions of preference for Presidential candidates shall be given and the selection of delegates and alternates made through a primary election conducted by the party organization in each State where such expression and election are not provided for by State law. Committeemen who are hereafter to constitute the membership of the Democratic National Committee, and whose election is not provided for by law, shall be chosen in each State at such primary elections, and the service and authority of committeemen, however chosen, shall begin immediately upon the receipt of their credentials, respectively.

This vision was not fully realized until the 1970s. But throughout the 20th century, it was Democrats who argued for direct presidential primaries. It was Democrats, surveying the political carnage of 1968, who vowed to never again nominate a candidate who had not won a majority of their delegates in direct primaries and caucuses. And it was Democratic legislatures in dozens of states who passed legislation holding state Republican parties to that same commitment.

I voted this morning at 8:45 am. It marked the first time I ever voted for a presidential candidate. Standing in line I realized nobody would be voting today if it weren't for the Democratic Party -- no Republicans, no Democrats, no independents. Something to think about.
posted by Eric Schmidt at 12:09 PM 0 comments Post to DemWire

The Primary Electorate of Wisconsin
While most polls are showing Obama has a fairly decent lead in today's primary (though not always statistically significant) Wisconsin's demographics should actually make this state prime Clinton territory. I wouldn't be surprised if pundits bring this up when analyzing the results in "Wesconsin" tonight, especially in the context of Obama doing so much better than expected among Latinos and women in the primaries last Tuesday.

Here's some facts the Associated Press highlighted from the 2004 Wisconsin Democratic primary exit poll that you may not have been aware of:

-Nine out of 10 Democratic primary voters were white, far above the national average of six in 10
-More than half made less than $50,000 a year, above the national average of 40%. Nationally, Clinton has had a 23 point advantage over Obama among white voters in that category
-Half of Democrats lacked a college degree, and 9 in 10 of them were white
-Wisconsin Democrats were somewhat older than the national average
-Only 13% of primary voters consider themselves "very liberal," and this group has so far given Obama huge leads, versus the national average of 19%.

The only thing that should, a priori, favor Obama is the fact that 48% of voters in the 2004 primary were male, while the national average has been about 43%. It remains to be seen how different the electorate could be this year. My guess is, more Republicans and Independents voting in the primary and for Obama since McCain basically has the nomination sown up, and many of them don't want to see Hillary become president. Hopefully we will also see record youth turnout. I haven't seen data but anecdotally I certainly feel a sort of energy around this election, don't you? Even my apolitical friends are talking about it.

A random cautionary side note: While most early polling shows Obama is more competitive in most swing states than Clinton, Obama actually does far worse in a poll of Florida released today than Clinton, losing by 16 points versus 6. The key finding is that Obama only gets 53% of the votes of Democrats while nearly a third defect to that moderate maverick hell-raiser McCain.

We do have to worry about the possibility that Democrats in Florida and Michigan will feel disenfranchised if Obama gets the nomination. My guess is they'll get over it and fall in line, but the best thing would be for us to take this as an screaming impetus for primary reform, as the phenomenon of states leap-frogging each other to be first has been a disaster this election cycle. Ironically, many of those states that did move back their primaries would have gotten more attention if they had kept the dates as they were since the Democratic race has turned out to be so competitive.


-

Labels: , , ,

posted by Ryan Greenfield at 11:10 AM 1 comments Post to DemWire

VOTE today
VOTE today!

Polls are open from 7 am to 8 pm.

Got some free time? Come help us volunteer with GOTV. We have a tent on Library Mall - just stop on by.

If you have questions about what you need to register to vote or where you are voting, check out http://wisc.wiscollegedems.org/vote/ or http://www.cityofmadison.com/clerk/voterWhere.cfm.
posted by Suchita Shah at 6:44 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Monday, February 18, 2008

Clinton Goes After Obama on Public Financing
This one is interesting The Clinton campaign team is planning to "make an issue" out of Obama's supposed renege on his pledge to accept public funding the general election. Clinton, who has never even publicly flirted with the idea of public funding, is calling Obama a pledge breaker.

Whatever the case is, the only way there will be a publicly financed general election is if both candidates agree on it. Apparently McCain and Obama have talked about striking such a deal.
posted by Jack Craver at 6:27 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

I cannot be cynical here
Readers of this blog will detect, correctly, a certain cynicism to my political analysis and opinions. I am a contrarian. I care more about being realistic than being swept up in a political moment. For about 2 months now, I have offered my view that the Democratic Party needs to resolve serious intra-party disputes ASAP; otherwise we can write off 2008.

But at some point, cynicism gives way to the sense that something brilliant and unprecedented is happening around us -- something we cannot describe objectively or analyze intellectually, but which makes sense nonetheless. I feel that way now. I've been feeling that way ever since Barack Obama started winning every primary in sight, forcing me to scrap all my projections. And I felt that way this morning, reading about Barack Obama's popularity in Tanzania -- which we must assume is a microcosm of a broader international picture. President Bush just made an official visit to Tanzania, and has been hearing about Obama-fever the entire time.

As a primary voter, I made up my mind a while ago. There will be no last-minute conversion for me. I still do not understand perfectly the phenomenon of Barack Obama. I still have my skeptical, cynical doubts. But I know when the world is changing even when I do not understand why. If (when) Obama is our nominee, I look forward to understanding.
posted by Eric Schmidt at 2:19 PM 6 comments Post to DemWire

Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton in town today!
Today at 3:15 PM Michelle Obama will be holding a "Stand for Change" Rally at the Overture Center's Capitol Theater. Doors will open at 2:00 PM, and the theater only seats about 1,000 people, so be sure to get there early if you want to hear her speak.

This evening, Senator Clinton will be visiting the Monona Terrace for a "Solutions for America" Rally. The event will be held in the Expo Hall on the ground floor of the building. The Terrace is located at the end of MLK, Jr. Blvd, two blocks off the Capitol Square. The program begins at 8:15 PM, and doors open at 6:30 PM. Space here is also limited (about 5,000), so be sure to get there early!

Stay tuned, we might have one more visitor to campus before the end of the day.

Also, the College Dems need a few more volunteers for our Midnight Madness tonight. Come help us decorate campus for the big day! Meet at 11:00PM at the fountain in the quad on Library Mall. Questions? Shoot me an email: oliver.kiefer@wiscollegedems.org.

Gametime. Woot.
posted by Oliver Kiefer at 10:21 AM 0 comments Post to DemWire

Sunday, February 17, 2008

Will this jolt us towards a Smoke-Free Wisconsin?
A Michigan State University case report published the first reported death from acute asthma associated with environmental tobacco smoke (ETS, also known as second-hand smoke).

ScienceDaily.com reports on it:


“This is the first reported acute asthma death associated with work-related ETS,” said Kenneth Rosenman, an MSU professor of medicine and chief of the Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine. “Recent studies of air quality and asthma among bar and restaurant workers before and after smoking bans support this association.”

In 2006, the surgeon general’s report concluded that ETS causes coronary heart disease, lung cancer and premature death. But at that time there was little hard evidence linking ETS to the exacerbation of asthma in adults.

However, Rosenman and colleagues believe this case provides plenty of evidence to link secondhand smoke to this death.

...

“As a consumer, I don’t have to go into that bar,” he said. “But is it a safe environment for the employees? We have federal laws that say employers have to provide a safe and healthy workplace. This was clearly not a safe and healthy workplace for this employee.

“This death dramatizes the need to enact legal protections for workers in the hospitality industry from secondhand smoke.”

In the United States, 23 states have already banned smoking in restaurants and bars.

...

Studies of restaurants and bars in Boston, New York City, San Francisco and Washington D.C. all show business up since they banned smoking.

...


Do you still want to argue with me about public health hazards?

Labels:

posted by Suchita Shah at 10:09 PM 2 comments Post to DemWire

Wisconsin Race Close?
Couple tidbits from Political Wire:

1. A new poll shows Clinton leading in WI, 49%-43%.

2. However, the Journal-Sentinel also reports that Hillary is planning on leaving WI early, suggesting that her campaign has lost confidence in her chances here.

Or maybe, they are just playing the expectations game. But I strongly doubt that. The political junkies that actually read Howard Wolfson's press releases might care, but the vast majority of the electorate in TX and OH don't.

Either way, it looks like the race will be much closer than I thought it would be a week ago.
posted by Jack Craver at 5:46 PM 7 comments Post to DemWire

Hillary rally postponed due to weather
Today's rally for Senator Clinton at the Monona Terrace has been POSTPONED due to the weather.

Updates when they are available.

**UPDATE 9:30 pm. The event will be tomorrow (Monday the 18th), at 8:15 pm. Doors open at 6:30.**
posted by Suchita Shah at 12:51 PM 1 comments Post to DemWire

Kosovo's Government Declares Independence from Serbia

A new potential powder keg on the next US president's plate...

Kosovo's parliament has unanimously endorsed a declaration of independence from Serbia, in an historic session.

Kosovar Albanians wave U.S. and Albanian flags on the Albanian ...
Kosovar Albanians wave U.S. and Albanian flags on the Albanian side of the ethnically divided town of Kosovska Mitrovica to celebrate the upcoming independence of Kosovo, Sunday, Feb. 17, 2008. (AP Photo/Bela Szandelszky)
Kosovo's 10 Serbian MPs boycotted the assembly session in protest at the declaration.

Correspondents say the potential for trouble between Kosovo's Serbs and ethnic Albanians is enormous.

Serbia's Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica blamed the US which he said was "ready to violate the international order for its own military interests".

"Kosovo is Serbia," Mr Kostunica said, repeating a well-known nationalist Serb saying.

Serbia's PM denounced the US for helping create a "false state". Serbia's ally, Russia, called for an urgent UN Security Council meeting. [Serbia and Russia will not recognize Kosovo as an independent nation.]

Recognition by a number of EU states, including the UK and other major countries, will come on Monday after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels, says the BBC's Paul Reynolds.

The US is also expected to announce its recognition on Monday.

Three EU states - Cyprus, Romania and Slovakia - have told other EU governments that they will not recognise Kosovo, says our correspondent.

Russia's foreign ministry has indicated that Western recognition of an independent Kosovo could have implications for the Georgian breakaway provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.


Ethnic breakdown of the new state:
distribution of ethnic Albanians outside Kosovo






posted by David Lapidus at 11:42 AM 2 comments Post to DemWire


The views and opinions expressed in this blog do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of the UW-Madison College Democrats. They are the views of their authors. Postings by individual board members to not necessarily represent a consensus opinion of the board or organization.