College Democrats | University of Wisconsin - Madison

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

More on Exit Polls and Results
John McCain projected to win huge in Wisconsin. No surprise there

Here are the exit poll results on the Democratic side so far:

Obama wins a HUGE victory among young voters, 73% to 20% in preliminary numbers. 18-29 year olds made up a fairly decent 14% of the electorate, which is similar to turnout in 2006 I believe. Women made up 57% of the electorate, more than in 2004.

As Mr. Craver said, Obama wins by 2 among women and voters under $50,000 and voters without a college degree (the last 2 are obviously strongly correlated). Clinton's only consolation? She won senior citizens by a fairly decent margin (60% to 39%). In fact she does better the older you go. More people actually think Clinton is qualified to be commander in chief, 50% to 48% (2 point margins everywhere tonight!).

It's not projected yet, but I think the question is just how big Obama's victory will be tonight...

UPDATE: Obama wins!

UPDATE 2: Obama currently winning by 15 points with 3/4 of the vote tallied.

From the Isthmus election blog:

Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair Joe Wineke points out that Democrats out-polled Republicans by a margin of 3 to 1 today's Wisconsin primary, reports Jason Joyce from the Clinton event at the Stadium Bar...

Also heard that 2/3 of independents voting chose the Democratic primary over the Republican one.

Sweet!

UPDATE 3: Was just watching MSNBC and they had some state senator on from Texas (Kirk Watson) as an Obama surrogate who couldn't list a single legislative accomplishment of Obama. Truly incompetent and embarrassing.

In better news for Obama, Chuck Todd just explained on MSNBC that he currently leads by about 150 pledged delegates. If Obama wins most of the remaining caucus, all-white, heavily-minority, and red states like Wyoming, Montana, Mississippi, Oregon, South Dakota, Vermont with a pretty good margin (extremely likely extrapolating from past trends), Clinton needs to win on average about 65% of the vote in the remaining states like Ohio, North Carolina, Texas, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, etc. to tie Obama in pledged delegates. Not great chances for her I'd say.
posted by Ryan Greenfield at 8:05 PM

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