Just a quick blogging before class. I came across some really interesting poll results in the governor's race. Governor Doyle leads Republican Mark Green 45%-40% with a margin of error of 4% so it's a very tight race.
What was more interesting was the geographic distribution of that support. Doyle leads Green 50% to 39% in the city of Green Bay, Green's hometown! Now Green was not an unpopular congressman, he was reelected with 70% of the vote against an unknown in 2004. Recent poll results showing Steve Kagen in the lead against Assembly Speaker John Gard in the 8th Congressional District confirm Doyle's lead in Northeast Wisconsin. What's more, Green leads Doyle in heavily Democratic Milwaukee 44%-41%.
Now I'm from Green Bay and this summer I saw campaign commercials from Doyle but none from Green. Therefore, I'd assume he was just taking the area for granted (since he's well-known there) by not spending any money on ads there. I wonder if the reverse is true for Milwaukee? In the world of politics there is still an eternity left before this election. Anything can happen, but in all likelihood, the different regions of Wisconsin will realign in their support of the gubernatorial candidates according to their partisan leanings. Yet this seems to confirm that the Doyle campaign should not take any area of the state for granted and compete everywhere.
What was more interesting was the geographic distribution of that support. Doyle leads Green 50% to 39% in the city of Green Bay, Green's hometown! Now Green was not an unpopular congressman, he was reelected with 70% of the vote against an unknown in 2004. Recent poll results showing Steve Kagen in the lead against Assembly Speaker John Gard in the 8th Congressional District confirm Doyle's lead in Northeast Wisconsin. What's more, Green leads Doyle in heavily Democratic Milwaukee 44%-41%.
Now I'm from Green Bay and this summer I saw campaign commercials from Doyle but none from Green. Therefore, I'd assume he was just taking the area for granted (since he's well-known there) by not spending any money on ads there. I wonder if the reverse is true for Milwaukee? In the world of politics there is still an eternity left before this election. Anything can happen, but in all likelihood, the different regions of Wisconsin will realign in their support of the gubernatorial candidates according to their partisan leanings. Yet this seems to confirm that the Doyle campaign should not take any area of the state for granted and compete everywhere.
2 Comments:
When you say "Democratic Milwaukee," do you mean the City of Milwaukee, Milwaukee County, metro Milwaukee, or the Milwaukee TV market area?
That's not exactly defined. But if you click on the link, the Green Bay Press Gazette article notes further down the page that Green leads heavily in Waukesha County and has a somewhat smaller lead in the "Milwaukee suburbs". Therefore, "Milwaukee" must either refer to the City of Milwaukee or possibly Milwaukee County but not the metro area nor the TV market.
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